In the 2027 Presidential election, Marine Le Pen would be leading after the first round with one-third of the votes.

An investigation conducted by pollster Toluna Harris Interactive, commissioned by Challenges magazine, reveals that Marine Le Pen is leading in the voting intentions for the first round of the upcoming presidential election. If the election were held today, the leader of the National Rally would gather 30 to 33% of the voters’ support.

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Découvrez quels candidats de la macronie s’en sortiraient le mieux face à Marine Le Pen https://t.co/zW26pPC217 pic.twitter.com/swug0skqsm

— Challenges (@Challenges) September 13, 2023

Marine Le Pen récupère l’électorat Zemmour

er au 15 mai.^er au 4 septembre 2023 auprès de 2 525 personnes âgées de 18 ans et plus, dont 2 148 inscrites sur les listes électorales. Un sondage en ligne qui confirme la première place de Marine Le Pen dans les intentions de vote entrevue lors d’une précédente enquête en avril et la positionne à un niveau déjà entrevu en 2016-2017, observe Harris Interactive.

The level of confidence from the electorate towards her has not waned since the 2022 presidential election. She remains « the second most trusted political figure by the French (35%) ». Furthermore, according to the pollster’s analysis, « she could gain a significant portion of Eric Zemmour’s electorate in 2022, as well as that of Valérie Pécresse », amounting to 15 to 20% of the latter’s votes.

La solide cote de confiance d’Édouard Philippe

Behind the RN candidate, there is another confirmation, that of the strength of Édouard Philippe and his status as the best chance for the presidential camp, compared to Gérard Darmanin and Bruno Le Maire, who have also been tested. Compared to April, he loses two points, but « 22% of French people would consider voting for him » and above all, he appears as « the political figure in whom the French express the most trust (40%) ». A popularity rating that has not wavered since his departure from Matignon.

On the rest of the political chessboard, despite the controversies it fuels, Jean-Luc Mélenchon remains largely ahead on the left, with voting intentions ranging between 16 and 17%. On the right, Laurent Wauquiez would gather between 5 and 10% of the votes if the election were held today. There is still a split within The Republicans, between his camp and that of former candidate Valérie Pécresse, who is considered more « moderate ». With Édouard Philippe in the race, « even LR’s voters declare that they would turn more towards the former Prime Minister rather than Laurent Wauquiez (39% versus 30%) » reports Harris Interactive.